Archive for the Romney Category

The more accurate polls favor Romney

Posted in 2012, Obama, Paul Ryan, Romney with tags on October 26, 2012 by b5blue

Go visit Zombie over at PJ Media.   Teaser:

All polls with 1000 or more respondents favor Romney; all polls with smaller than 1000 respondents favor Obama (or are tied).

Statisticians will tell you that the larger the sample size, the more reliable the poll. This fact is reflected in RCP’s “Margin of Error” (MoE) column, which shows a lower margin of error, and thus a greater level of reliability, for the large-sample pro-Romney polls. Each and every pro-Obama poll has a higher margin of error, and is thus less reliable.

These are the facts as they currently stand, and they’ve been true like this almost every day since soon after the first debate when Romney surged in popularity.

Obama is toast, y’all.

 

 

The real reason Romney is surging

Posted in 'Professional' Media, Romney with tags , , , on October 20, 2012 by b5blue

Why? Because He’s a Dodo

Posted in Democrat Memory Hole, Fascism/Nazism/Communism, Obama, Romney, Socialism, Video Library for Liberal Escapees with tags , , , on October 9, 2012 by b5blue

Socialists of a feather, commune together.

The week in chairs

Posted in Humor, Obama, Romney with tags , on October 7, 2012 by b5blue

Romney’s New Ad: The Dinner Table

Posted in Economics, Obama, Romney with tags , on October 6, 2012 by b5blue

No, it’s not about Obama eating dog meat.

 

 

Obama is Toast v4.40 (for the car guys)

Posted in Obama, Romney with tags , , on September 22, 2012 by b5blue

Here’s Barry the Toasted Marxist!
Historically, Obama isn’t in strong shape

The bottom line: Historically speaking, this president is in weaker shape than any postwar incumbent who went on to victory, with the possible exception of Harry Truman; he is enjoying a convention bounce later in the cycle than any incumbent in the postwar era; and if he manages to win, it will probably be via a true squeaker, with plenty of twists and turns to come.

Democrats are celebrating and Republicans panicking prematurely. I’d wait until October 1 to see where the race is before I give anybody a decisive edge one way or the other.

Gallup: America’s distrust of media hits a new high.

 Americans’ distrust in the media hit a new high this year, with 60% saying they have little or no trust in the mass media to report the news fully, accurately, and fairly. Distrust is up from the past few years, when Americans were already more negative about the media than they had been in years prior to 2004. …

 This year’s decline in media trust is driven by independents and Republicans. The 31% and 26%, respectively, who express a great deal or fair amount of trust are record lows and are down significantly from last year. Republicans’ level of trust this year is similar to what they expressed in the fall of 2008, implying that they are especially critical of election coverage.

Pravda West flailing.

Gallup tracker: Romney now even with Obama at 47

Eight days ago it was 50/44, today it’s a dead heat. I already wrote about O’s fade (or, more accurately, his disappearing convention bounce) in the Gallup tracker two days ago, so read that if you missed it then. What makes this poll interesting isn’t the raw numbers but the fact that he’s still on a downward slope despite two days of media hyperventilation over Romney’s “47 percent” remarks.

Karl Rove: Obama’s in desperate shape in swing states.

Rove noted that Obama was ahead of Sen. John McCain then with 55 percent of likely voters, according to a USA Today/Gallup poll conducted in mid-September of that campaign.
 
“So Mitt Romney is already running ahead of the pace of John McCain. And President Obama is running . . . over six points behind where he did in these states in 2008,” Rove told Cavuto.
 
“It’s amazing to me,” Rove said, adding that he would be worried “if I were in the White House and looking at this.”
IT’S OVER: The Left’s Information Warfare Campaign Has Failed — and Mitt Romney is Going to Win This Election.
Too much to post here… click over there, pilgrim.
Why Romney Is Going to Romp over Obama in November
Which brings me back to polls, and why Romney will be our next president.  Polls are largely not picking up on blacks’ massive loss of passion for Obama.  All of their turnout models assume that in November, blacks will vote for Obama in the same numbers as they did in 2008 — 13 percent of the national vote versus 11 percent in 2004, which is more traditional.  No longer motivated by passion, you can expect 2 million fewer blacks to pull the lever for Obama this time around, spelling doom for his re-election prospects.So romp on, Romney!  Romp on!

Demoralized as hell: The poll the MSM isn’t talking about.

There is no example of the Democrats winning since 2004 with an advantage less that 6.9.

The GOP won two elections in this period 2004 with a -1.6 disadvantage & 2010 with a 1.3 advantage. This means the GOP has proven it can win with not only a small lead but with an actual disadvantage. Additionally with an advantage of only 1.3 they pulled off the biggest house swing in my lifetime.

Can these number change? Well the biggest 1 month swing I’ve seen is 4.2 Oct-Nov in 2010 the biggest 3 month swing was Dec 2007-Feb 2008 6.9 in favor of Democrats at the rise of Obama.

Tell me with the economy in the tank, and the new trouble in the Middle East, what is the prospect of a swing of that size to the Democrats happening again right now? Moreover even if that record registration swing repeated itself right now this would give democrats an advantage of only 2.6 points.

I’ve covered a lot of national polls on this site over the last year and all those polls ABC, CBS, NBC, FOX have one thing in common.

Not a single one of those polls had a sample with a GOP advantage.

As Rush would say: Zip, Zero Nada.

Not only have none of these polls had a GOP advantage but the closest we saw was a D+4 poll.

Hmmm. Was he afraid he would have to wash his mouth out with soap?

Posted in Obama, Romney, Video Library for Liberal Escapees with tags , on September 17, 2012 by b5blue
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