Archive for the Paul Ryan Category

The more accurate polls favor Romney

Posted in 2012, Obama, Paul Ryan, Romney with tags on October 26, 2012 by b5blue

Go visit Zombie over at PJ Media.   Teaser:

All polls with 1000 or more respondents favor Romney; all polls with smaller than 1000 respondents favor Obama (or are tied).

Statisticians will tell you that the larger the sample size, the more reliable the poll. This fact is reflected in RCP’s “Margin of Error” (MoE) column, which shows a lower margin of error, and thus a greater level of reliability, for the large-sample pro-Romney polls. Each and every pro-Obama poll has a higher margin of error, and is thus less reliable.

These are the facts as they currently stand, and they’ve been true like this almost every day since soon after the first debate when Romney surged in popularity.

Obama is toast, y’all.

 

 

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Why do you keep bring up this pesky truth?

Posted in Economics, Humor, Obama, Paul Ryan with tags , on September 28, 2012 by b5blue

Obama is Toast Marathon V4.11

Posted in 2012, Middle East, Obama, Paul Ryan, Romney with tags , , , , , on September 16, 2012 by b5blue

…and heeeeeerrrrrrre’s Barry the Toasted Marxist.
Why Mitt will Win.

Start with the polling. It appears that the bulk of the Obama post-convention bounce has been in blue states where his left-oriented convention stirred up the enthusiasm of an already committed group of voters. Among likely voters identified in the Washington Post poll — taken after the conventions — Obama holds a slim, 1-point edge. And an analysis of Rasmussen’s state-by-state likely-voter data indicates a tie in the battleground states (according to Breitbart).

But it’s not really a tie at all. All pollsters are using 2008 models of voter turnout. Some are combining ’04 and ’08 but skewing their samples to ’08 numbers. African-Americans cast 11 percent of the national vote in ’04, but their participation swelled to 13 percent in ’08. These 2 million new black voters backed Obama overwhelmingly. Will they come out in such numbers again? Will college and under-30 voters do so as well? Will Latino turnout be at historic highs? All these questions have to be answered in the affirmative for the polling samples so widely published to be accurate.

For example, when a poll shows an Obama lead among likely voters of, say, 47 percent to 45, it is based on an assumption that blacks will cast 13 percent of the vote. But the lack of enthusiasm among Obama’s base for his candidacy and their doubts about the economy make an 11 percent black turnout more likely. In this event, Romney would actually win 46 percent to 45.

The Empty Chair is Losing.

President Obama is headed to defeat in November, and it won’t be close.  Forget about the polls, and forget about the cadre of delusional Democrats who can’t stop telling us how great and successful the last three and a half years have been.  Slick Willy can shill all he likes, but seriously, he’s preaching to the choir, because the only ones believing his shtick are bought and paid for sycophants, crony capitalists, and members of the mainstream media. 

Can you think of a single person who didn’t vote for Barack Obama in 2008 but will vote for him this time around?  Yet it is easy to find former minions admitting to the dissolution of their belief in the primacy of the “one.”  These people will not vote for him again — and they are legion.

72% in poll say Obama economic record to be key factor in their vote

The Washington Post/ABC News poll released Monday showed that 72% of registered voters surveyed said President Obama‘s handling of the economy would be a major factor in their vote this November.

The issue easily topped other flash points in the race between Obama and his Republican challenger, Mitt Romney.

Exactly half of registered voters in the poll said the plan by Romney’s running mate, Rep. Paul Ryan, to restructure Medicare would be a major factor in their choice. Likewise for the difference between Democrats and Republicans on women’s issues, highlighted by recent controversial comments about rape by Rep. Todd Akin (R-Mo.).

Just 20% of respondents said Romney’s position on releasing his tax returns would be a major factor. Democrats have pushed Romney to release more than two years of his returns.

Der Spiegel: ‘Obama’s Middle East Policy Is in Ruins’

US embassies in the Muslim world were on high alert Friday following days of violent protests against an anti-Islam film. Germany, too, closed several embassies in fear of attacks. Some German commentators argue that the violence shows that Obama’s Middle East policies have failed.

That’s all for today.

Romney’s poll numbers soars with independents

Posted in 2012, Obama, Paul Ryan, Romney with tags , , , , on September 12, 2012 by b5blue

Nero the Zero will not be pleased.

The CNN/ORC International poll of registered and likely voters released Tuesday shows likely voters favoring Obama by 52 percent to 46 percent over Romney — evidence, pundits said, of a post-convention bump for the president.

But a figure buried in the report shows Romney leading Obama among likely independent voters, 54 percent to 40 percent.

>snip<

Romney also appears to have an advantage over Obama when it comes to voter enthusiasm.

The CNN/ORC International poll showed Republicans leading Democrats among the most enthusiastic voters, 62 percent to 56 percent. The enthusiasm level helps determine which party will show up in greater numbers to vote.

Narcissus Maximus might consider some change of address arrangements.

Obama is Toast Marathon V3.62436

Posted in Obama, Paul Ryan, Romney, Video Library for Liberal Escapees, Voter I.D. with tags , , , , , , , on September 3, 2012 by b5blue

Doin’ tha Bump.  The Toast Marathons are getting more hits lately.  Woo Hoo!

Heeeeerrrrrreeeeee’s Toasty!

Healthy Ridicule:

Here was our favorite line from Mitt Romney’s convention speech: “President Obama promised to begin to slow the rise of the oceans and to heal the planet. My promise is to help you and your family.”

We liked it even better when we saw that the New York Times’s Nicholas Kristof had tweeted: “Seriously, Romney’s speech esp troubled me by mocking rising seas/climate change. The dismissiveness was appalling.” Gaia is a jealous Goddess, and She will not be mocked!

It actually hadn’t occurred to us that the Romney line was a repudiation of global warmism. If so, that’s lagniappe. What we enjoyed was the deft way in which Romney punctured Obama’s self-aggrandizement–by quoting his most immodest promise ever, pausing for effect, then making an almost comically modest promise of his own.

Get off of my (Oval Office) Lawn:

Ryan left the liberals Cryin’:

Mamma Mia! I love Mia Love:

Glenn Reynolds mentioned that there was a very high quality speech that was lost in the sea of other conservative celebrities… he recommended we watch it.  I agree.  Well worth five minutes.  Nice job Ms. Edmonds:

Ouchie: Rasmussen Daily tracking poll has Romney up by 3 points.

Apparently the Democrats in Charlotte have B.O. (Barack Obama): Hillary Clinton to stay as far as possible away from the Democrat Convention.
WOO HOO! Occupy RNC ends in tears and frustration!

This is not the Tweet of a Confident Man:

New Florida poll shows vindication of Eastwood Strategy

1,211 adults were interviewed statewide 08/31/12, after Romney, Florida’s Marco Rubio and Clint Eastwood spoke to the convention 08/30/12. Of the adults, 1,100 were registered to vote in Florida. Of the registered voters, 754 heard the convention speeches. Of the convention speech watchers:

* 66% did not change their mind.
* 16% switched from “undecided” to Romney.
* 6% switched from Obama to Romney.
* Adding those 2 together, that’s 22% who switched TO Romney.
* 10% switched from “undecided” to Obama.
* 2% switched from Romney to Obama.
* Adding those 2 together, that’s 12% who switched TO Obama.
* Comparing the 2 aggregate numbers: 22% switched TO Romney, 12% switched TO Obama.

Some Anti-Obama signs freaking out peopleIn Massachusetts, no less:

Voter Fraud and the Collapse of Democrat Registration in Florida.

That’s all for today.  Obama’s toast, y’all.

Romney convention ‘bounce’ should be better than Obama’s

Posted in Obama, Paul Ryan, Romney with tags , , , on August 27, 2012 by b5blue

Courtesy of Paul Bedard and The Washington Examiner Juicy part:

“The American people already know Barack Obama well,” said Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball team of political experts at the University of Virginia’s Center for Politics. “Romney’s numbers probably have more room to grow,” said Sabato.

On average, Republican presidential candidates see a 5.9 percent poll bounce; Democrats a 4.3 percent convention bounce.

Nice.

BUMP: Building a Bulwark for the Tsunami of Medicare Lies

Posted in Economics, Gov't Run Healthcare, Liberal Straw Men, Obama, Paul Ryan, Republicans, Romney, Spendocrats, U.S. Gov't Pork, Video Library for Liberal Escapees with tags , , , , , , , , on August 26, 2012 by b5blue

Bump.

It appears from the MSM, comments in blogs and political forum threads that one of the few tools Obama has left is to define Ryan and his Medicare plan as extremist.   I’m going to cobble together a bunch of articles and videos together to help you blunt the tidal wave of false talking points.   If you encounter a liberal parroting the Mediscare party line, send them to this thread or cut and paste what you need.   Cheers!

Update: Obamacare carves out money out of Medicare to pay for Obama’s projects.  In 2008, he said such actions ‘Ain’t Right’:

My fave.  DSW getting Blitzed by Wolf; he’s relentless….go to around the 3:00 mark to see ole Deb get flustered that Wolf isn’t buying her lies:

Obama promised entitlement reform in his first term.

He had a Super Majority.  What happened?  They still have no plan like Ryan does:

Even when Ryan originally made the proposal, Obama liked it….indeed he called it an entirely legitimate proposal:

You heard correctly.  Obama thought it was worth considering.

Wall Street Journal: How Ryan’s Plan was originally supported by Obama and Democrats.   Juicy part:

When Mr. Ryan’s ideas had no chance of enactment, liberals praised his sincerity. President Obama lauded “a serious proposal” worthy of “healthy debate” in 2009. When the House GOP dared to include it in their budget, liberals responded with varying degrees of hysteria. Mr. Obama recently savaged premium support as “social Darwinism,” and that was the subtle part.

Investor’s Business Daily: Ryan’s Budget Is Radical? Far From It:

But Ryan’s budget plan is far from radical.

His proposed spending and revenue levels are above historic averages. His Medicare reform has strong bipartisan support. His tax reform plan is similar to one proposed by Obama’s own bipartisan debt reduction commission.

Ryan’s budget, which passed the House last March, would set the federal government on course to spend an average of 20% of GDP over the next decade. That’s slightly higher than the post-World War II average of 19.8%.

His tax plan would produce revenues averaging 18.3% of GDP. That, too, is somewhat higher than the 17.7% post-war average. What’s more, Ryan’s plan would set tax and spending rates higher than every Democratic president before Obama.

By this measure, what’s radical is Obama’s tax and spending plans.

His last budget, issued in February, would set federal spending over the next decade at 22.5% of GDP, on average, according to the Congressional Budget Office.

>snip<

But under his plan, Medicare spending in the near term would track levels set by Obama. Unlike Obama, however, Ryan wouldn’t use any of those near-term savings to finance ObamaCare, but would direct all that to extending the Medicare Trust Fund.

And starting in 2023, Ryan would offer retirees — who are today 55 or younger — the ability to choose from a range of private insurance options, as well as traditional Medicare, with the government providing a fixed level of premium support.

The thinking is that this will unleash competitive insurance market forces, keeping costs down, while providing greater control over federal spending. But Ryan’s plan would let Medicare spending continue to climb over the long term, just not as fast as projected under current law.

Despite efforts by Democrats to cast it as a Medicare killer, Ryan’s Medicare reform actually has a strong bipartisan pedigree, attracting the support of Sen. Ron Wyden, D-Ore., as well as former Democratic Sen. John Breaux, who developed a similar “premium support” reform as part of President Clinton’s bi-partisan Medicare commission.

>snip<

Ryan’s plan also is similar in its basic outline to ideas put forward by Obama’s own Simpson-Bowles debt commission. One of the fiscal panel’s proposals had three brackets — 8%, 14% and 23%.

That commission was emphatic about the need for tax reform, saying that since 1986, “Washington has riddled the system with countless tax expenditures, which are simply spending by another name.”

If Ryan is such an extremist, we does he keep getting re-elected in an overwhelmingly Democrat district?  Ironic part:

First, if Ryan is an extremist and his proposals are so unpopular, how has he won election seven times in a Democratic district? His lowest share of the vote was 57 percent — in his first race. He routinely wins over two-thirds of the vote. When Obama swept the nation in 2008, he carried Ryan’s district by four points. But at the same time, Ryan won reelection with 65 percent of the vote, meaning that a fifth of Obama voters also voted for him.

Ryan has pointed out to me that no Republican has carried his district for president since Ronald Reagan in 1984. “I have held hundreds of town-hall meetings in my district explaining why we have to take bold reform steps, and I’ve found treating people like adults works,” he told me. “All those ads pushing elderly woman off the cliffs don’t work anymore if you lay out the problem.”

Second, Democrats know that Ryan has Reaganesque qualities that make him appealing to independent, middle-class voters. Take the cover story on Ryan that the Isthmus, a radically left-wing Madison, Wis. newspaper, ran on him in 2009. “Ryan, with his sunny disposition and choirboy looks, projects compassion and forcefully proclaims dedication to his district,” the story reported. “And he’s proved he is not unyieldingly pro-corporate, as when he recently joined in condemnation of AIG ‘retention’ bonuses.”

American Enterprise Institute: 3 things every voter needs to know about Paul Ryan’s Medicare reform plan–in 100 words  Here ya go:

1. No one over the age of 55 would be affected in any way.

2. Traditional Medicare fee-for-service would remain available for all. “Premium support”—that is, government funding of private insurance plans chosen by individuals—is an option for those who choose it. No senior would be forced out of the traditional Medicare program against his will.

3. Overall funding for Medicare under the Ryan-Wyden plan is scheduled to grow at the same rate as under President Obama’s proposals. Is this “gutting Medicare” and “ending Medicare as we know it”? In reality, it’s the market giving seniors cheaper, higher quality choices they can take if they wish, with the traditional program remaining an option.

Obama cuts Medicare more than Ryan’s plan:

Both ObamaCare and Ryan’s plan make changes to Medicare: ObamaCare via of government rationing, and Ryan via direction of privatization. The ObamaCare law creates a new panel, called the Independent Payment Advisory Board, which will be composed of 15 unelected government officials. They will be charged with rationing care to seniors, primarily by underpaying doctors and hospitals.

Obama has cut Medicare more than Romney and Ryan would. According to the most recent estimates from the Congressional Budget Office, ObamaCare will reduce Medicare spending by more than $700 billion between 2013 and 2022, relative to prior law. These cuts directly affect current retirees. By contrast, both the Romney and Wyden-Ryan plans only affect retirees younger than 55.

The approach advocated by Ryan and Romney gives seniors more control over their own health dollars, allowing them to choose the plan that provides the best value for their money.

Jay Cost nails the essence of the debate:

Combine these three points, and Team Romney can say that, if you’re a senior citizen who is worried about Medicare, your best bet is to vote for the Republican ticket. The Republicans will protect the system; the Democrats are taking half a trillion from it over the next decade to fund a new entitlement. 

It is true that Democrats are licking their chops. And that they will claim a vote for them is a vote to save Medicare. But that’s misguided.

Put another way: Because Obamacare already messes with entitlements, there is greater urgency for reforming the entitlement system. That is, Obama and Biden are the ones who touched entitlements, and Romney and Ryan are coming in to fix them.

Thanks to Hot Air, Betsy’s Page and Free Beacon.

Note: I’ll try to keep it updated and bumped in the future.

Update:

Romney correctly attacks Obama for gutting Medicare:

Oooopsie!  Obama attacks Bush for not addressing Medicare’s funding problems:

For your forum posts:

Forbes: Yes, Obamacare Cuts Medicare More Than President Romney Would

Obamacare emphasizes government control and central planning. The law empowers a panel of 15 unelected government officials, called the Independent Payment Advisory Board, to make changes to the Medicare program that will reduce Medicare spending: primarily paying doctors and hospitals less, as is done with the Medicaid program. Over time, liberal health-policy types hope that IPAB can be used to introduce rationing into Medicare, using the panel to determine what types of procedures and treatments that Medicare will and will not pay for.

The Wyden-Ryan plan, co-authored by liberal Sen. Ron Wyden (D., Ore.) and Paul Ryan, preserves the Obamacare targets for future Medicare spending, but employs an entirely different mechanism: premium support and competitive bidding. Seniors would enjoy exactly the same benefits that they do now, but along with the traditional Medicare program, they would enjoy the option of choosing among a selection of government-approved private insurance plans.

Soviet style control vs. Free Market? Are you kidding me?  Some idiots actually prefer the care of the state.   Morons marinated in Koolaid.

More…. Clinton’s Man says Ryan’s plan is the way to go:

Wooden nickel to The Rio Del Norte Line for video.

More:

The Democrats’ Growing Medicare Dilemma

Through the candidates’ statements this week and through this new ad, Romney and Ryan have made clear they’re going to inform voters about this and force the Democrats to defend themselves on Medicare.

 
That won’t be easy for the Left, since the Romney campaign’s charges are true, and it is beginning to become apparent that the Democrats are totally unprepared for the coming fight. Their defenses so far fall into roughly three categories: Ryan did it too, the Obamacare Medicare cuts aren’t very serious, and finally what can only be called frantic distractions. Even as pure demagoguery (let alone as efforts at actual substantive arguments) all three are exceptionally weak defenses, and suggest the Democrats could be in serious trouble.

Love the irony: the one perceived ‘weakness’ of Ryan will become the Democrats’ biggest weakness.  Ivory Tower echo chambers can do that to a group.

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