Why are so many pollsters oversampling Democrats?

Good article by Jim Geraghty and another reason I say Obama is toast.   Juicy part:

I find it interesting that not one of their poll statisticians came out and said, ‘Boss, these results look whacked out because the electorate is going to be more than 24 percent Republican, and self-identified Democrats aren’t going to outpace Republicans by 9 percentage points.’  The Democrats couldn’t even reach that margin in 2008 . . . and you wonder why so many people think Obama is going to win.  Didn’t Einstein once say the definition of insanity was “doing the same thing over and over again and expecting different results”.  So I ask are the people at Pew insane or just biased?

Ivory towers and elitist bubbles come to mind.


3 Responses to “Why are so many pollsters oversampling Democrats?”

  1. pianogirl88 Says:

    Oversampling dims is the only way they can get the results they want. I also heard union employees during the Scott Walker recall election say they NEVER admitted to a pollster that they were not voting for the union person because their jobs depended on not being outspoken, something I certainly understand. Just remember that ivory towers fall and elitist bubbles pop!

  2. This is what is happening now… people are being nice to Obama in the polls but it will be different in the ballot booth.

  3. pianogirl88 Says:

    I’ve been listening to Larry Kudlow’s radio show this evening. He was talking to Monica Crowley and they both think that many, many democrats will be bolting and voting for Romney because they see what is happening in the country and it scares them, as well.

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